Hyperstition #27 — June 6, 2025
BREAKING: Polymarket, X.com clinch partnership deal, and more.
BREAKING: Polymarket, X.com clinch partnership deal
Polymarket’s data is now integrated into X.com’s Grok AI agent.
X.com is preparing to launch more products merging prediction markets and social media.
Other platforms such as Kalshi and Pump.fun are exploring related strategies.
Polymarket and X.com clinched a partnership deal Friday designed to integrate data from the Web3-based prediction marketplace into Elon Musk’s social media platform, X.com said in an announcement shared with Hyperstition.
The deal aims to combine Polymarket’s predictions with X’s social media data to deliver live insights into current events — including real-time commentary from X.com’s affiliated artificial intelligence model, Grok, the social media platform said.
The Grok integration is live as of June 6. It will be the first in a suite of products tied to the partnership, an X.com spokesperson told Hyperstition.
“Combining Polymarket’s predictions with Grok’s analysis and X’s real-time insights will enable us to provide contextualized, data-driven insights to millions of Polymarket users around the world instantaneously,” Shayne Coplan, Polymarket’s CEO and founder, said in a statement.
The platforms envision “enhancing X and Polymarket users’ ability to make instant sense of breaking news and make informed decisions about the future,” Coplan added.
X.com is among the world’s largest social media platforms, with approximately 650 million monthly active users as of early 2025, according to data from SEO.ai.
Polymarket is the world’s most popular prediction marketplace, clocking upwards of $1 billion in trading volume in May, according to data from Dune Analytics.
Markets, media converge
The partnership reflects an ongoing convergence of markets and news media. Other platforms — including Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction marketplace, and memecoin launchpad Pump.fun — are exploring similar strategies.
For example, Kalshi has become “much more intertwined with the news and media… [because it] enables you to capture anything that is in the news or on people’s minds much more dynamically and effectively,” Tarek Mansour, Kalshi’s CEO, said on May 23 during Solana’s Accelerate conference in New York City.
Prediction markets rose to prominence as a source of reliable information during the U.S. presidential election in November 2024. Both Kalshi and Polymarket accurately forecast U.S. President Donald Trump’s victory even as traditional polls signaled a toss-up.
“There are fundamental advantages to the way markets aggregate information that polls simply can’t compete with,” Kalshi’s business and media development lead told Hyperstition during a June 6 livestream.
Kalshi has been working with media operations including Hyperstition to embed its prediction markets into topical news content.
Hyperstition has also been exploring partnerships with other platforms such as Opinions.fun, a token launchpad for coins tied to opinions.
Meanwhile, Pump.fun has expanded beyond supporting memecoin launches to hosting and creating media content.
In April, the memecoin trading platform re-launched its livestreaming platform and has invested in onboarding content creators. It previously suspended livestreaming in 2024 after the lightly-moderated platform sparked a series of controversies.
Pump.fun has also launched an in-house news service focused on the memecoin ecosystem. As of June 6, Pump.fun’s news service is only accessible via the platform’s mobile application.
By the numbers…
